While most stateside economists seemed agreed that the year drawing to a close was short of good economic news, America’s dismal scientists are (thankfully) more divided in respect of the coming 12 months. BusinessWeek offers an interesting roundup of the opinions and predictions of 58 leading American economists, and the fact that they can’t agree on the coming years is probably good news of sorts.
The economic optimists, BusinessWeek reports, are pinning “their hopes on something called the Zarnowitz rule. Named after the late economist and business cycle theorist Victor Zarnowitz, it posits that deep recessions are usually followed by rapid rebounds … Typically, companies slash stockpiles after a recession hits because they don't want to be stuck with products they can't sell. When demand starts to stabilise, they ramp production back up and rebuild inventories so as not to miss out on potential sales and profits.”
Looks good. Also looking good is this recap of the local year, and some possible lessons for the year ahead, from the chief executive’s chair of Openside’s Stephen Nicholas.







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